The model's own ratings · updated 2026-10-19 14:53 PDT
Power rankings
These are the Honest Line model's internal predictive ratings — the same numbers behind every pick. A team's rating is its expected run differential per game against an average team in a neutral park, built from park-adjusted runs scored and runs allowed. This is not a resume ranking: it doesn't care about standings or headlines, and it moves only when games are played. Like everything here, it's published to be checked, not believed.
| # | Team | Rating | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milwaukee Brewers MIL | +1.44 | – |
| 2 | Chicago Cubs CHC | +1.14 | – |
| 3 | Los Angeles Dodgers LAD | +1.10 | – |
| 4 | San Diego Padres SD | +0.92 | – |
| 5 | New York Yankees NYY | +0.90 | – |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Rays TB | +0.84 | – |
| 7 | Chicago White Sox CWS | +0.42 | – |
| 8 | New York Mets NYM | +0.42 | – |
| 9 | Detroit Tigers DET | +0.32 | – |
| 10 | Baltimore Orioles BAL | +0.30 | – |
| 11 | Cleveland Guardians CLE | +0.29 | – |
| 12 | Pittsburgh Pirates PIT | +0.29 | – |
| 13 | Atlanta Braves ATL | +0.25 | – |
| 14 | Arizona Diamondbacks ARI | +0.24 | – |
| 15 | Boston Red Sox BOS | +0.24 | – |
| 16 | Philadelphia Phillies PHI | +0.16 | – |
| 17 | Miami Marlins MIA | +0.13 | – |
| 18 | Houston Astros HOU | -0.09 | – |
| 19 | Washington Nationals WSH | -0.14 | – |
| 20 | Toronto Blue Jays TOR | -0.15 | – |
| 21 | St. Louis Cardinals STL | -0.39 | – |
| 22 | Minnesota Twins MIN | -0.47 | – |
| 23 | Texas Rangers TEX | -0.49 | – |
| 24 | San Francisco Giants SF | -0.51 | – |
| 25 | Kansas City Royals KC | -0.77 | – |
| 26 | Seattle Mariners SEA | -0.93 | – |
| 27 | Los Angeles Angels LAA | -1.00 | – |
| 28 | Cincinnati Reds CIN | -1.11 | – |
| 29 | Colorado Rockies COL | -1.30 | – |
| 30 | Athletics OAK | -2.05 | – |
These are the model's final ratings for the 2026 season, trained on every game through the end of the regular season. The model retrains ahead of Opening Day 2027. For how the ratings are built, see the methodology page. For whether they beat Vegas, see the track record — nothing hidden.