Disclaimers

Everything on Honest Line is published for entertainment and research purposes only. Our picks, probabilities, and model outputs are not financial advice, not betting advice, and not a tipster service. Decisions about whether or how to wager are yours alone.

Our probabilities are estimates, and estimates are wrong sometimes. Our own 45-season backtest shows the model roughly tying the closing line on score error and flipping a coin against the spread in recent seasons. Past performance — ours or anyone's — does not predict future results.

This site is intended for adults 21 and over. Never bet more than you can afford to lose, and never chase losses. If gambling stops being fun, stop — and consider talking to someone.

Free, confidential help is available 24/7 from the National Council on Problem Gambling at 1-800-GAMBLER or ncpgambling.org.

The market lines shown next to our picks were current when the picks were generated. Lines move. A pick that looked interesting at one number may not be at another — always check the current line before drawing any conclusions.

To the fullest extent permitted by law, Honest Line and ClearStack Studio are not liable for any decisions you make based on this site's content, or for any losses arising from them. You use this site at your own risk.

Honest Line is free to read, and advertising helps keep it that way. Some slots on this site currently show our own promotions; third-party ads served by Google AdSense may also appear, and Google may use cookies to serve and personalize them.

Some links on this site may be affiliate links to sportsbooks or ticket marketplaces. If you sign up or buy through one, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Affiliate relationships never influence our picks, probabilities, or track record — the model doesn't know who advertises, and no sponsor can buy a better number. Betting offers are for adults 21+ and are only valid where sports betting is legal.